Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Ah! Bright Wings

 

"All sins are attempts to fill voids. Grace fills empty spaces, but it can only enter where there is a void to receive it, and it is grace itself which makes this void."

Simone Weil, La pesanteur et la grâce, 1947

"Present day society resembles an immense machine which is constantly swallowing up people, and whose controls nobody really understands.  And those who sacrifice themselves for social progress are like people who would cling to cogs and transmission belts in an attempt to stop the machine, and in turn get crushed.  But the helplessness one feels at a given moment, an impotence which must never be regarded as definitive, cannot dispense with remaining faithful to oneself, nor excuse surrender to the enemy, whatever mask he may assume. 

And, no matter what name it may take — fascism, democracy, or dictatorship of the proletariat — the principal enemy remains the Apparatus; not the enemy across the border, who is our enemy only to the extent that they are our brothers and sisters’ enemy, but the one who claims to be our defender while making us its slaves. In any circumstance, the worst betrayal possible always consists in agreeing to subordinate oneself to this apparatus and trample underfoot, in order to serve it, all human values in oneself and others."

Simone Weil, Réflexions sur la guerre, La Critique Sociale, 10 November 1933

"Generations have trod, have trod, have trod;
And all is seared with trade; bleared, smeared with toil;
And wears man's smudge and shares man's smell: the soil
Is bare now, nor can foot feel, being shod.

And for all this, nature is never spent;
There lives the dearest freshness deep down things;
And though the last lights off the black West went
Oh, morning, at the brown brink eastward, springs —
Because the Holy Ghost over the bent
World broods with warm breast and with ah! bright wings."

Gerard Manley Hopkins, God's Grandeur, 1877

And so we go into the weekend. 

I must have missed some good news, sending the tech stocks to stratospheric highs.

Or the kleptocrats are having a final bash.  It's not only the Fed that can print money.

So, gold and silver were hammered, but managed to come back off their lows to nearly unchanged.

There will be a Comex futures option expiration on Monday, and an FOMC meeting on Wednesday.

The Dollar slid.   

Bitcoin held its ground at the very top of its trading range.   

VIX is at relatively complacent levels.

The only real issue at hand worth considering from a risk standpoint is where the US and Israel are going with their war of aggression against Iran.

I am afraid I cannot penetrate the fog of war with any certainty.   The pieces are certainly lined up on the chessboard.  

I didn't track the news today.  I spent literal hours trying to track down some precise citations for a couple of quotes by Simone Weil.

ChatGPT is wonderfully befuddled at times.  It points first at one of the many 'quotation' sites on the web that post mostly slope, without attribution.  They are a disappointment for the most part.  

And then it will describe the quote in more detail, painting useless words on top of the plain meaning like some sophomore's English essay.  Is this what the kids are handing in these days?  Those poor teachers. No wonder literature in the US is dead.

And then finally is will throw out some desperate attempt after 'deep thinking,' tossing out a reference to one of the author's more popular works, or some anthology of their writings, without any real sourcing.

When you download and examine their purported source, it is just not there.  And so you ask again, and it throws out something else.  And one begins battling paywalls over works who have been in the public domain for generations.

As a benefit I read a good chunk of Simone Weil's Penguin Books anthology, and a number of academic papers which gave me some new sources and insights.

It reminds me of my corporate career.  Management was always thinking up dumb things to consider that didn't address any product of customer concerns, but sometimes they would inadvertently open up a field of effort that become fruitful.

Even the business trips, many of them overseas, were a delight.  I did visit Newman's Birmingham Oratory, and saw where the young JRR Tolkien had lived.   I visited Gerard Manley Hopkins rooms as well during his short stint as a teacher there.  These are precious memories.

Oh well, all in all, with a quick trip out in beautiful weather to the store, and some tending of Daisy, I could not imagine a better day.  

So let's see what happens, what fresh madness the vain and the rapidly decaying will unleash, before they pass on to well-deserved obscurity.  That which has no love scatters quickly into nothingness and dust, unmourned and ill-remembered.

Have a pleasant weekend. 

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Wages of Sin

 

"Price discovery is not a sexy function of markets, but it is critical to the efficient allocation of scarce capital and resources, and to the preservation of the long term wealth of investors and the economy as a whole.  If price discovery is compromised by manipulation, then we will all be gradually impoverished and the economy will be imbalanced and unstable."

London Banker, Lies, Damn Lies, and Libor, 10 July 2012

"What is most offensive is not their lying — one can always forgive lying — lying can be a delightful thing, for it leads to truth.  What is offensive is that they lie, and they worship their own lying."

Fyodor Dostoevsky, Crime and Punishment, 1866

"They often come across as arrogant, shameless braggarts — self-assured, opinionated, domineering, and cocky.  They love to have power and control over others, and seem unable to believe that other people have valid opinions different from theirs.  What makes psychopaths different from all others is the remarkable ease with which they lie, the pervasiveness of their deception, and the callousness with which they carry it out.  The majority of people and workplaces are easy prey, because we still want to believe that people are inherently good. We don't really want to believe that such people exist. Wherever you find money, prestige and power you will find them. We are far more likely to lose our life savings to an oily-tongued swindler than our lives to a steely-eyed killer."

Robert D. Hare, Without Conscience, November 1993

"Evil when we are in its power is not felt as evil, but as a necessity, or even a duty."

Simone Weil, La pesanteur et la grâce, 1947

"Crafty and penetrating as he is, yet his thousand eyes and his many instruments avail him nothing against the majestic serene silence, the holy imperturbable calm which reigns through the providences of God.  He makes a guess here, or does a bold act there, but all in the dark.  If even devils, sagacious as they are, spirits by nature and experienced in evil, cannot detect His hand while He works, how can we hope to see it except by that way which the devils cannot take, by loving faith."

John Henry Newman, Christ Manifested in Remembrance, 7 May 1837

"When Judas, his betrayer, saw that Jesus had been condemned to death, he was seized with regret, and returned the thirty pieces of silver to the ruling priests and the elders, saying, ‘I have sinned. I have betrayed innocent blood.’  But they said, ‘What is that to us? That’s your responsibility.’  So he threw the money into the temple, and went and hanged himself."

Matthew 27:3-5

"We have been silent witnesses of evil deeds: we have been drenched by many storms; we have learnt the arts of equivocation and pretence; experience has made us suspicious of others and kept us from being truthful and open; intolerable conflicts have worn us down and even made us cynical.  Are we still of any use?  What we shall need is not geniuses, or cynics, or misanthropes, or clever tacticians, but plain, honest, straightforward men."

Dietrich Bonhoeffer, After Ten Years, New Year's Day 1943


The stock futures had a serious plunge down to their lows at about 3:50 PM today, but then recovered to come back to their gradual lift off the lows.  After the bell the futures fell back down again sharply. 

Certainly interesting and worth noting.

Silver was just hammered today, ahead of the option expiration for the silver May contract option expiration on the Comex on the 27th.  I posted this chart regularly for the last few days.

 VIX did its usual bipolar boogie woogie.

The Dollar has been chopping sideways in a trading range for quite some time.  

As you may recall I have highlighted the antiquated composition of the DXY index many, many times in the past going back to my old site in 2003.   It is heavily weighted to the world after the Bretton Woods agreement, with the appropriate alterations for the introduction of the euro.  

Although there are better, more up to date trade weighted indices, this is the one that Wall Street trades.

We are heading into what may turn out to be a significant weekend.   Israel wants to resume their military operations against Iran/Lebanon quite badly.   

Trump sees himself falling into a snare that is likely to cost his party quite a bit, given the lack of any benefit to the US for this.

Let's see what the competing forces of evil and lesser evil come up with for us.  For now righteousness is a shining light in the dark, guiding the faithful, but not yet come into its ascendancy in the world.

Have a pleasant evening. 

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Waiting for the Hand of God

 

"Imaginary evil is romantic and varied; real evil is gloomy, monotonous, barren, boring.  Imaginary good is boring; real good is always new, marvelous, intoxicating. Evil when we are in its power is not felt as evil, but as a necessity, or even a duty.  Humanism was not wrong in thinking that truth, beauty, liberty, and equality are of infinite value, but was wrong in thinking that we can get them for ourselves, without grace.

The beautiful is the experiential proof that the incarnation is possible.  We must have faith that the universe is beautiful, and that it has a fullness of beauty in relation to each of the thinking beings that actually exist and of all those that are possible.  It is this very agreement of an infinity of perfect beauties that gives a transcendent character to the beauty of the world.

He is really present in this universal beauty.  The love of this beauty proceeds from God dwelling in our souls and goes out to God present in the universe.  The beauty of this world is Christ's tender smile coming to us through the material."

Simone Weil, Attente de Dieu, 1950

“They're talking about things of which they don't have the slightest understanding.  It's only because of their stupidity that they're able to be so sure of themselves.”

Franz Kafka, The Trial,  1915

“It is a serious thing to live in a society of possible gods and goddesses, to remember that the dullest most uninteresting person you can talk to may one day be a creature which, if you saw it now, you would be strongly tempted to worship, or else a horror and a corruption such as you now meet, if at all, only in a nightmare."

C.S. Lewis, The Weight of Glory, 1941

"Whenever I groan within myself and think how hard it is to keep writing about love in these times of tension and strife which may at any moment become for us all a time of terror, I think to myself, 'What else is the world interested in?'   What else do we all want, each one of us, except to love and be loved, in our families, in our work, in all our relationships. 

God is Love.  Love casts out fear.  Even the most ardent revolutionist, seeking to change the world, to overturn the tables of the money changers, is trying to make a world where it is easier for people to love, to stand in that relationship with each other of love.  We want with all our hearts to love, to be loved."

Dorothy Day, On Pilgrimage, The Catholic Worker, April 1948

"Myth wants power; revelation reveals the true power of God in the most extreme powerlessness.  Myth wants knowledge; the Word of God asks for constant faith and, only within that faith, a growing, reverent understanding. 

The revelation of God’s Word is gentle patience amidst the intractable tensions of life.  Error never shows itself in its naked reality.  It dresses elegantly, so that the unwary may be led to believe that it is more truthful than truth itself.”

Iraneus of Lyons, Adversus Haereses, 180 AD

"A church that doesn't provoke any crisis, a gospel that doesn't unsettle, a word of God that doesn't get under anyone's skin, a word of God that doesn't touch the real sin of the society in which it is being proclaimed — what gospel is that?  Very nice, pious considerations that don't bother anyone, that's the way many would like preaching to be.  Those preachers who avoid every thorny matter so as not to be harassed, so as not to have conflicts and difficulties, do not light up the world that they live in.”

Oscar Romero, Radio Sermon, 1 July 1979

Stocks rallied today on Trump's unilateral extension of the ceasefire with Iran until Sunday evening.

Coincidentally enough this is in time for a third carrier group to join the two already in place.

And so it was the usual post-Trump announcement, preceded by large bets hitting the oil futures markets I might add.

Gold and silver were pushed lower, and the Dollar rallied.

Stocks, at risk levels of historic imbalance, rallied to new highs.

This is confirmation for the waning of wretchedness, with their failing bodies and minds — faithless to the last.

I think we all know what is what.  We may be tempted to distract and even blind ourselves, but there is it.

Remember who you are, and what it will mean to remain standing until the end.

This is what is important, what this drama is all about. 

And not the raging of those dwindling into dust, with the fury of the fallen. 

Have a pleasant evening.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - An Endless Series of Disillusionments

 

"The infant’s tongue sticks to the roof
      of its mouth with thirst;
the children cry for bread,
      but no one will feed them."

Lamentations 4:4

"Those among the rich who are not, in the rigorous sense, damned, can understand poverty, because they are poor themselves, after a fashion; but they cannot understand destitution.  They will be moved, to the sound of beautiful music, at Jesus’s sufferings, but His Cross, the reality of His Cross, will horrify them.  They want it all out of gold, bathed in light, costly and of little weight; pleasant to see, hanging from a woman’s beautiful throat."

Léon Bloy, Le Sang du Pauvre, 1909

“Addiction might be the best word to explain the lostness that so deeply permeates society.  Our addiction make us cling to what the world proclaims as the keys to self-fulfillment: accumulation of wealth and power; attainment of status and admiration; lavish consumption of food and drink, and sexual gratification without distinguishing between lust and love.  

These addictions create expectations that cannot but fail to satisfy our deepest needs. As long as we live within the world's delusions, our addictions condemn us to futile quests leaving us to face an endless series of disillusionments while our sense of self remains unfulfilled.”

Henri J.M. Nouwen, The Return of the Prodigal Son, 1991

"And in the worst cases, they become self-righteous, being proud in their gifts and their election as they think it in their own minds.  They may even harbor private hatreds, sins against the Spirit, judging others and seeing admonitions to take up the cross of His obedience with love as intended for all those others, but not for themselves.  They are imbued with the leaven of the Pharisees, which is hypocrisy and spiritual pride.  And it is the road to a dwindling of the spiritual life, and a gradual erosion of faith as a vital element of our every action.

Jesse, Obedience Without Love - The Leaven of the Pharisees, 5 April 2017

"You believe in the one God, and that is good.  But even the demons believe this, and tremble."

James 2:18-19

Stocks were on a bit of a roller coaster today, closing fairly hard towards the lows, until a last minute statement from Trump about extending the ceasefire tomorrow lifted them a bit into the close.  

I have never seen a sitting US President grifting the very heart of our own economic system this hard through the use of exaggerations, schemes, and outright lies.

This is a sign of our times: an endless series of disillusionments.

Gold and silver were hammered lower by selling programs.  The financial system is extracting its pound of flesh for going along with this official dishonesty of the political.  The corruption in our system is profound.

They famously have no morals.   They would be as gods, but make themselves into beasts.

"To the politician and administrator laissez-faire was simply a principle of the insurance of law and order, with the minimum cost and effort.  Let the market be given charge of the poor, and things will look after themselves. Hobbes had argued the need for a despot because men were like beasts; Townsend insisted that they were actually beasts and that, precisely for that reason, only a minimum of government was required."   Karl Polanyi, The Great Transformation, 1944

The IDF is recreating Gaza in southern Lebanon.  They are dropping all pretenses. 

VIX lifted a little.  As did the Dollar.

Let's see if anything happens tomorrow before the ceasefire expires late in the day.

When I am reminded that God is just, I tremble for His mercy. 

Have a pleasant evening.